Making it rain with “cloud seeding”

China is dramatically expanding its weather modification program. Is geoengineering next?

Rain is key to our survival. Too little can lead to dried-up wells and dead crops. Too much can result in dangerous flash floods and, again, dead crops.

For millennia, the amount of rain that fell from the sky was out of our hands — we just had to hope for the best and prepare for the worst. But in the 1940s, scientists came up with a bold idea for controlling precipitation: “cloud seeding.”

Clouds are nothing more than water droplets and ice crystals that aren’t heavy enough to fall to the ground.

The idea behind cloud seeding is that, by dispersing tiny particles of something (often dry ice or silver iodide) throughout a cloud, we could give those droplets something heavy to cling to — and they’ll then fall to the ground as precipitation.

Whether cloud seeding even produces enough precipitation to matter is still debatable, but that isn’t stopping China from preparing to launch the world’s largest cloud seeding system in 2025.

China’s Commitment to Cloud Seeding

China has been using cloud seeding for decades. Sometimes, it’s to alleviate droughts. Other times, it’s to ensure clear skies before a big event, such as the 2008 Olympics.

Dozens of nations dabble in cloud seeding, but China’s program is the world’s largest, with more than 35,000 employees — and on December 2, the country announced plans to make it five times bigger.

The goal? Being able to produce precipitation over 2.1 million square miles of land by 2025 — for comparison, the entire nation of India covers just 1.2 million square miles.

That would give China the ability to produce precipitation over the majority of its land, but the nation reportedly plans to keep growing its cloud seeding program from there, reaching an “advanced” level by 2035.

Is Geoengineering Next?

China’s commitment to weather modification (and its general indifference for how cloud seeding affects its neighboring nations) has raised some red flags, as it’s seen by some as a stepping stone to climate engineering, commonly known as geoengineering.

China expects to be able to produce precipitation over the majority of its land by 2025.

The goal of geoengineering is to offset the effects of climate change by manipulating the environment.

One of the most popular ideas for this is to seed Earth’s upper atmosphere with reflective particles. This would decrease the amount of sunlight that hits the planet’s surface and thereby combat global warming.

Scientists know even less about whether that will work (and what the potential consequences will be) than they do about cloud seeding, so we need to conduct far more research before attempting it.

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